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Scenario-based approach for project portfolio selection in army engineering and manufacturing development

Scenario-based approach for project portfolio selection in army engineering and manufacturing development

作     者:Pengle Zhang Kewei Yang Yajie Dou Jiang Jiang 

作者机构:College of Information System and ManagementNational University of Defense Technology 

基  金:supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71571185 71201168) 

出 版 物:《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 (系统工程与电子技术(英文版))

年 卷 期:2016年第27卷第1期

页      码:166-176页

摘      要:The decisions concerning portfolio selection for army engineering and manufacturing development projects determine the benefit of those projects to the country *** are typically selected based on ex ante estimates of future return values,which are usually difficult to specify or only generated after project launch.A scenario-based approach is presented here to address the problem of selecting a project portfolio under incomplete scenario information and interdependency *** the first stage,the relevant dominance concepts of scenario analysis are studied to handle the incomplete ***,a scenario-based programming approach is proposed to handle the interdependencies to obtain the projects,whose return values are multi-criteria with interval ***,an illustrative example of army engineering and manufacturing development shows the feasibility and advantages of the scenario-based multi-objective programming approach.

主 题 词:scenario based interdependency group decision making project portfolio selection portfolio decision analysis 

学科分类:11[军事学] 

核心收录:

D O I:10.1109/JSEE.2016.00016

馆 藏 号:203127427...

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