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Climate change in the twenty-first century over China: projections by an RCM and the driving GCM

Climate change in the twenty-first century over China: projections by an RCM and the driving GCM

作     者:CHEN Nan GAO Xuejie CHEN Nan;GAO Xuejie

作者机构:College of Atmospheric SciencesChengdu University of Information TechnologyChengduChina Climate Change Research CenterInstitute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina College of Earth and Planetary SciencesUniversity of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina 

基  金:supported by the National Key Research and Development Program [grant number 2016YFA0600704] the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant number 41375104] 

出 版 物:《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 (大气和海洋科学快报(英文版))

年 卷 期:2019年第12卷第4期

页      码:270-277页

摘      要:A regional climate model(RegCM4)is used to project climate change over China in the twenty-first century under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 *** driving GCM is CSIRO Mk3.6.0(hereafter referred to simply as CSIRO),and the simulation(hereafter referred to as CdR)is run at a grid spacing of 25 *** focus of the present paper is on the changes in mean surface air temperature and precipitation in December–January–February(DJF)and June–July–August(JJA)over *** of the model performances is provided first,followed by a comparison of future changes projected by CSIRO and *** warming in the future is simulated by both models,being more pronounced in DJF compared to JJA,and under RCP8.5 compared to *** warming shows different spatial patterns and,to a less extent,magnitude between CSIRO and *** change shows a general increase in DJF and a mixture of increase and decrease in *** differences between the two models are found in for precipitation change in *** paper further emphasizes the uncertainties in climate change projection over the region.

主 题 词:Climate change RegCM China temperature precipitation 

学科分类:07[理学] 070601[070601] 0706[理学-大气科学类] 

核心收录:

D O I:10.1080/16742834.2019.1612695

馆 藏 号:203695985...

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