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Uncertainties in Global Warming Projection: 收藏
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引用; 《Advances in climate Change Research》2012年第4期3卷 229-232页; 作者：WEN Xin-Yu WANG Shao-Wu LUO Yong ZHAO Zong-Ci HUANG Jian-BinLaboratory for Climate and Ocean-Atmosphere StudiesDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic SciencesSchool of PhysicsPeking University National Climate CenterChinese Meteorological Administration Center for Earth System ScienceTsinghua University; According to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report （AR4） [IPCC, 2007], the global mean surface temperature in 2100 is projected to be 1.1-6.4℃ higher than the 1980 1999 mean state, with the best estimation of increase ...; According to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report （AR4） [IPCC, 2007], the global mean surface temperature in 2100 is projected to be 1.1-6.4℃ higher than the 1980 1999 mean state, with the best estimation of increase at 1.8-4.0℃. It should be noted that this is the projected range of increase rather than the so-called uncertainties in global warming projection. Specifically, 1.1℃ and 1.8℃ are the lower limit and the best estimation for the B1 emissions scenario （the low emissions scenario）, respectively; while 4.0℃ and 6.4℃ are the corresponding upper limit and the best estimation for the A1F1 emissions scenario （the high emissions scenario）. Therefore,; 来源：详细信息评论

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